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DCA_Conditional_Buy_LR_with_TrailingStop

Note:

This is a work in progress. It's a software configuration guide. This Is Not Financial Advice.

Experiment's source code can be found here.

Scenarios and best results for BTC

DCA_Conditional_Buy_LR_with_TrailingStop works better on 1 day timeframe in any scenario. It took thousands of test sampling ranging dates to discard minute and hourly trading for this strategy.

Sampling moving and overlapping dates helped to reduce the parameters space.

Range

From: 2022-06-16 to 2023-03-10.

Optimized parameters

  • band_length=3
  • band_mult=1
  • band_low_pct=2.065553230602729
  • minimal_benefit_to_start_trailing=1.003
  • reinvest=2
  • dca_budget=1000
  • buy_all_days=0
  • lr_buy_longitude=6

Results

  • Return: 36.37531513528706% over -1.2284505259711431% on buy and hold.
  • Initial investment: 1000.0
  • Final result: 1363.7531513528706

Range_BTC_1d.png

Up and Down

From 2019-11-01 to 2022-01-23.

Optimized parameters

  • band_length=34
  • band_mult=2
  • band_low_pct=3.0025190627892058
  • minimal_benefit_to_start_trailing=1.003
  • reinvest=2
  • dca_budget=100
  • buy_all_days=1
  • lr_buy_longitude=10

Results

  • Return: 965.4840942441458% over 292.6135311175407% on buy and hold.
  • Initial investment: 1000.0
  • Final result: 10654.840942441459

Up_and_Down_BTC_1d.png

Bear

From 2021-11-12 to 2022-11-12.

Optimized parameters

  • band_length=3
  • band_mult=1
  • band_low_pct=2.8111930348691905
  • minimal_benefit_to_start_trailing=1.003
  • reinvest=2
  • dca_budget=50
  • buy_all_days=0
  • lr_buy_longitude=11

Results

  • Return: -9.49249976588443% over -73.78119881357838% on buy and hold.
  • Initial investment: 1000.0
  • Final result: 905.0750023411557

Bear_BTC_1d.png

Long Term

From 2017-01-01 to 2024-01-20.

Optimized parameters

  • band_length=34
  • band_mult=2
  • band_low_pct=2.815263919591264
  • minimal_benefit_to_start_trailing=1.003
  • reinvest=2
  • dca_budget=100
  • buy_all_days=1
  • lr_buy_longitude=7

Results

  • Return: 1487.0788390592738% over 904.5432166669% on buy and hold.
  • Initial investment: 1000.0
  • Final result: 15870.788390592737

Longterm_BTC_1d.png

BTC

Bear

Binance_BTC-USDT_1d_2021-11-12_2021-11-12_2024-01-20_1525

Binance_BTC-USDT_1w_2021-11-12_2021-11-12_2024-01-20_1542

Range

Binance_BTC-USDT_1d_2022-06-16_2022-06-16_2024-01-20_1515

Binance_BTC-USDT_1w_2022-06-16_2022-06-16_2024-01-20_1537

Up and down

Binance_BTC-USDT_1w_2019-11-01_2019-11-01_2024-01-20_1555

Binance_BTC-USDT_1d_2019-11-01_2019-11-01_2024-01-20_1523

Binance_BTC-USDT_1h_2019-11-01_2019-11-01_2024-01-20_1556

Long Term

Binance_BTC-USDT_1w_2017-01-01_2017-01-01_2024-01-20_1543

Binance_BTC-USDT_1d_2017-01-01_2017-01-01_2024-01-20_1526

ETH

Bear

Binance_ETH-USDT_1d_2021-11-12_2021-11-12_2024-01-20_1611

Range

Binance_ETH-USDT_1d_2022-06-16_2022-06-16_2024-01-20_1612

Up_and_down

Binance_ETH-USDT_1d_2019-11-01_2019-11-01_2024-01-20_1609

Long Term

Binance_ETH-USDT_1d_2017-01-01_2017-01-01_2024-01-20_1610